Our weekend started on the damp side thanks to morning fog and mist, clouds will break up a bit by the afternoon, but it will still be hot and very humid. If you're heading outside today we're forecasting highs in the 90s, but it will feel more like upper 90s to mid 100s, so stay hydrated and be safe. This heat and humidity can be dangerous!
The dryline will be the focal point for storm development to the north and northwest after sunset, and any storms that develop may be strong to severe with hail and strong winds. Any potential storms will likely dissipate shortly after midnight.
Sunday will start on the damp side again with fog and mist, but the afternoon looks pretty good, so keep your outdoor plans. By the evening, a cold front approaches, bringing more widespread rain and storms overnight into Monday morning. There's also a potential for any storms to produce heavy rain, hail and damaging wind gusts. The Storm Prediction Center already has Central Texas in a SLIGHT RISK for strong to severe storms Sunday. Our forecast calls for a 60% rain/storm chance late Sunday into Monday.
This front is forecast to stall near the area Memorial Day. Expect more showers and thunderstorms to develop. Yes, Memorial Day 2017 will be wet at times.
Rain totals look small ahead of the cold front, but we'll average closer to 1 inch into Monday. Rain/storms stay in the forecast into next week, so if heavy downpours develop, flooding may be a threat as the ground gets saturated. NOAA's latest 7 Day Rain Outlook shows higher half-foot or greater potential accumulations from Central to South Texas, especially along the coast.
Our model shows potential rain totals through Tuesday:
No matter what you do as you plan for the holiday weekend, make sure you have a way to get weather alerts, day or night. Make a plan "B" that includes safe shelter on high ground. And, of course, check in with us here and on 'Weather on the 1s' as we watch this all come together. Remember: when thunder roars, head indoors! There's no safe place to be outdoors during a thunderstorm as all thunderstorms produce lightning. Any of the storms that develop this week in Texas could quickly become strong to severe. For now, the biggest threats appear to be heavy downpours, strong storm winds and sizable hail. We don't want to scare you, just prepare you for what might occur. Sign up for severe text alerts so we can notify you when bad weather is on the way. And, when you're away from your TV, stay connected with us via our mobile app...where you can watch Spectrum News streaming live all the time.
Your 7 Day Forecast shows you the wet details.
Hurricane Outlook... The 2017 Atlantic hurricane season starts June 1st. NOAA issued its outlook yesterday. It suggests a potentially active tropical season while experts at Colorado State suggests it might not be as busy.
Enjoy the rest of your Saturday!
-Meteorologist Emily Borchard